By Fatma Younis
President Donald Trump launched strikes on Qeshm Island in the Strait of Hormuz on the eve of the US midterm elections, resuming a conflict with Iran that has been deadlocked for months. US officials described the strikes as defensive measures against Iranian surface-to-air missiles targeting a US aircraft. Iranian state media reported several explosions on the island. Trump later said he was in "no rush" to restart fighting, though Pentagon briefings suggested attacks could continue after voting.
Negotiated peace deal
Diplomatic efforts to end the conflict appear ongoing despite Trump's threats. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said consultations have intensified and Iran has presented its conditions, stating readiness for sincere diplomacy but warning of a heavier response to deception. A White House source told Axios that talks progressed positively, with mediators bridging gaps. Vice President JD Vance recently reached out to hard-liners in Tehran, a move Trump approved.
Major bombing campaign
Trump could opt for a sustained bombing campaign targeting military infrastructure, energy facilities, and suspected nuclear sites. Such escalation risks high costs, further entrenching Iranian resistance, and spillover into neighboring countries, potentially disrupting global energy markets. Senator Chris Murphy, briefed on the plan, called it "insane" and warned it would not achieve objectives and would trigger a new cycle of escalation.
Nuclear strike scenario
Commentator Tucker Carlson claimed Trump may be considering a nuclear strike on Iran within days, allegedly under pressure from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Carlson alleged the target would be Pickaxe Mountain, a suspected underground facility at the Natanz nuclear enrichment site, which was bombed by the US and Israel in June 2025. He argued conventional weapons cannot reach deep tunnels, citing an unnamed informed observer. No evidence was provided for the claim.
